Man Utd v Man City Match Preview & Tips

October 29th, 2014

The lunchtime kick off on Sunday gives Manchester City a chance to bounce back from their 2-1 defeat at West Ham as they line up against city rivals, United, on home soil, looking to make it four Premier League wins in a row over The Red Devils.

Louis Van Gaal’s new look Man U team have not registered an away win this season, and United have failed to win away from Old Trafford since March, a 4-0 victory at St James Park, Newcastle, under David Moyes’ tenure as manager, being the last occasion.

Pellegrini’s City side will be involved in Capital One Cup action midweek against Newcastle, and could be slightly jaded coming into this Derby clash if their first XI is not rotated sufficiently after difficult trips to Moscow and East London within the last week and a half. The Sky Blues’ next three fixtures could shape the destiny of their season as they look to progress in the League Cup, stay within touching distance of Chelsea at the top of the table (with a win in this game), and then secure all three points against CSKA Moscow next Wednesday night if they are to stand any chance of qualifying for the knockout stages of the Champions League.

United could take advantage of their much busier neighbours, as Van Gaal’s squad’s sole focus is on one competition at the moment, the Premier League. They would have more chance of capitalising on having fresher legs than their opponents if Wayne Rooney were fit of course; the Manchester United Captain is now the leading scorer in these Derby fixtures with 11 goals, and will go straight back into the side from a three match suspension if he can shake off a minor leg injury sustained during his ban.

If not, the team should shape up in a similar fashion to the one that nicked a 1-1 draw with Chelsea last Sunday; Mata, Januzaj and Di Maria will operate behind Van Persie with Blind and Fellaini sitting deeper in midfield. Even though the absence of Falcao and Rooney will limit United’s attacking options, it’s at the back were they still have the most problems. Van Gaal’s defensive organisation is failing to take hold because of his inability to pick the same centre-back pairing for more than two consecutive matches. Paddy McNair and Marcus Rojo are the only central defenders who have played in the following match after starting the previous one together. If Smalling and Rojo start on Sunday afternoon at Eastlands they will equal the record. McNair, Evans and Jones are all central defenders out injured and youngster Tyler Blackett now seems out of favour after a rocky start to the campaign.

Man City’s players may have expended more energy this season but United are vulnerable at the back and lack defensive cohesion, even if they did hold the marauding Chelsea at bay for the whole of the first half. Van Gaal will again, adopt a more cautious approach against this quick and talented City side and we may not see a breakthrough till after the first 45 minutes.

City’s consistent performers this season have been Silva, Milner and the goal machine, Sergio Aguero. The small but powerful Argentine has scored in all the Derby matches he has been fit and available for, and I would back him to find the net here at 1.95 Euro odds or 19/20 UK.

With the opening period of the game likely to be tight, I would go for another bet on Manchester City to be the ‘Team to Score First in the 2nd Half’ at 1.85 Euro odds or 17/20 UK.

Real Madrid v Barcelona Preview & Tips

October 21st, 2014

This weekend, one of the most watched sporting events on the globe will be hyped up even further as Luis Suarez’s end of suspension from football coincides with the first El Clasico encounter of the season at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Barcelona have never arrived in Madrid in such imperious form at the beginning of a campaign, even if this new look Luis Enrique led team are still developing their understanding, and have not quite reached the near perfect levels of Guardiola’s reign, the signs are ominous for the rest of La Liga and their bitter rivals from the Capital.

Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid side may have scored eight more goals than Barca in the League but the men from Catalonia have conceded zero and are undefeated, whereas Los Blancos have already slipped up twice, losing to Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad.

The main transition in the Barcelona starting XI this Summer was the introduction of Ivan Rakitic (the new No.4) as the long term successor to Xavi Hernandez, and the Croatian playmaker seems to have settled in well; Rakitic has weighed in with 2 goals from his first 7 games while also displaying that essential “La Masia” quality of being able to retain possession, with an impressive pass completion rate of 91%.

The 30 year old Frenchman, Jeremy Mathieu, looks like the solid left-sided centre-back that Barca have been crying out for. The ex-Valencia defender’s ability to do the basics well, has contributed significantly to Luis Enrique’s new, mean looking Catalan outfit. Mathieu’s average clearances per game and average interceptions per game (both 2.9) are the highest in the Barcelona squad by some margin, and when partnering Gerard Pique, it allows for some necessary squad rotation, as Javier Mascherano is shifted into midfield (his preferred position) with Sergio Busquets taking a well earned rest.

Enrique seems to be getting everything right at the moment, rotating admirably, and keeping his very talented and precocious squad happy. The blossoming understanding between Neymar and Lionel Messi was highlighted brilliantly by the Argentine’s superb goal against Eibar on Saturday in the 3-0 victory; a lovely give-and-go with the Brazilian saw the Magic left foot of Messi then drive a crisp finish into the bottom corner of the net for his 7th goal from the opening 8 games of the season, and at 250, he’s now just one away from Telmo Zarra’a all-time La Liga goal record.

Meanwhile in Madrid, Spain’s other global superstar Cristiano Ronaldo, has been outstripping the exploits of his diminutive rival once again as he strives to make it a second consecutive World Player of the Year award (Balon D’or) for 2014. Ronaldo outscored Messi last season for the first time since the 2010/11 La Liga campaign when he bagged 40 goals, and for the first time ever when you combine goals from all competitions, 51 to Messi’s 41.

This season, having played a game less than Messi (7 starting appearances in the Primera Division), the Portuguese Captain has netted an astonishing 15 goals, and his well on the way to matching Messi’s domestic tally of 50 goals from the 2011/12 campaign, and he may even surpass his overall goal record from that season of 73. It is in fact, the best start to a Spainish season ever by any player, taking him past the 71 year old record of Real Oviedo’s, Esteban Echevarria.

Ronaldo’s determination to not be hidden in the shadow of Messi’s historic achievements are highlighted in his shots per game ratio, which is 6.9 compared to the Barca man’s 4.6.

Another element of this, and an area in which Messi will always outshine Ronaldo, is the goal assists column, which reads 7 to 1 in Messi’s favour this season, with the Argentine also giving 3.5 key passes per game as opposed to the Madrid man’s slightly lower 2.7.

Ronaldo’s selfishness has become more efficient with maturity and the winger now no longer dribbles with the ball for the sake of it, whereas Messi’s incredible change of speed and direction lets him regularly slip by his marker with ease – 3.9 successful dribbles per game compared to Ronaldo’s 1.9. On Saturday evening at the Bernabeu all these statistics will count for little, although maybe the one that really matters is the goals scored by these players over the previous six League meetings, Messi leads the way by 6 goals to 4, another record that Ronaldo will be determined to break.

I would back the Portuguese forward to find the back of the net here, with a small stake on First Goalscorer at 5.0 Euro odds or 4/1, and a medium sized back-up bet at 1.91 Euro odds or 10/11 UK to be Anytime goalscorer.

Euro 2016 Review & Premiership Preview

October 17th, 2014

As an exciting International week comes to a close as we return to the familiar business of the Premier League this weekend, with the top two sides looking to grab all three points against winnable opposition. Manchester City should record a third consecutive league victory over a Tottenham Hotspur team who conceded 11 to them last season.

Spurs’ results against the top 4 of last term were worrying, conceding 27 goals in total, but there were signs in the 1-1 draw at Arsenal last month that Mauricio Pochettino may have a more sensible plan when it comes to visiting the ‘big boys’. Manuel Pellegrini’s men will close the gap on Chelsea to two points with a win in this early kick off, and put the pressure on Jose Mourinho’s West London outfit as they travel East to face Crystal Palace later on Saturday afternoon.

A 1-0 win for The Eagles derailed Chelsea’s title hopes back in March, as Tony Pulis’ resurgent Palace side climbed their way to Premier League safety. Mourinho is a man who clearly loves to bear grudges, and he will not let this opportunity slip to gain revenge over the Palace faithful at Selhurst Park, in what I expect to be an extremely professional and disciplined performance from the men from the Kings Road, draining International break not withstanding.

Talking of International football, Michel Platini’s newly designed qualifying structure for Euro 2016 was almost universally criticized, myself included, for what was thought to be another way of guaranteeing the bigger teams entry to the final tournament, and creating an even more unfair and dull round of qualification matches. I, like many others, admit on being too quick to judge, and in fact the opposite has been true; the larger nations have become complacent because of the greater margin for error, while the middle to smaller ranking countries have found themselves energised and inspired to push for 3rd place in the Group and gain a two legged play-off spot.

In the case of Wales (not qualified for a major finals in over half a century), this new found hope has pushed them to the top of Group B after three games played, with seven still remaining.

A 1-1 draw between Belgium and Bosnia, as Wales were beating Cyprus 2-1 on Monday night, has helped the Welsh cause further. The only other serious rival to Chris Coleman’s men in the Group are Israel, and you feel that Bale, Ramsey & Co. will be fighting it out with these four teams for the two automatic qualifying spots and the third place play-off position come October 2015.

The most interesting set of matches has come in Group D, as Poland, Scotland, Ireland and Germany battle it out for the top three positions, with World Champions Germany currently lying in fourth after three games played. Northern Ireland complete a strong British contingent in this qualifying campaign as they head up Group F after registering three wins in a row for the first time ever in a European Championship qualification Group.

The complacency amongst the World’s Top 4 sides has been evident in Group A as Iceland and Czech Republic lead the way over third placed Holland, who suffered an incredible 2-0 loss in Iceland this week, while the once impeccable Spain, lost their first qualifier in eight years and sit behind the 2-1 victors on that night, Slovakia, in second place in Group C.

With one more round of games to come in mid-November (the stand-out match being a crucial Scotland v Ireland clash on the 14th) before a break till March, this initially promising start for the British nations could mean we see the four home countries, plus the Republic of Ireland, all qualify for a major tournament for the first time in History.

Football Betting Master Free Tips

October 17th, 2014

3/3 on our main bets last week, to join and get these click here

Below are our bonus bets, free of charge!

Greece > Super League
Kalloni v Kerkyra, Sunday 19th October, 16:15
50 points Under 2.5 goals, best odds 1.50 @ Betvictor
 
Norway > Tippeligaen
Stromsgodset v Lillestrom, Sunday 19th October, 14:30
50 points Over 2.5 goals, best odds 1.65 @ Betvictor
 
Italy > Serie B
Frosinone v Modena, Saturday 18th October, 14:00
50 points Under 2.5 goals, best odds 1.57 @ Bwin

Brazil v Argentina – Preview and Free Tips

October 7th, 2014

Brazil and Argentina meet in Beijing on Saturday afternoon (BST) at the 2008 Olympic ‘Birds Nest’ Stadium for a commercially led but still possibly entertaining International friendly.

The ex-Barcelona and new Argentine head coach, Gerardo Martino, orchestrated a superb 4-2 win over Germany in his first game in charge, a match in which Angel Di Maria stole all the headlines with a turbo-charged and assist laden performance.

Carlos Dunga is at the helm of the Nike sponsored ship that is the Brazil National team for the second time in his managerial career. The military buzz-cutted former World Cup winning midfielder has brought 32 year old ex World player of the year (2007), Kaka, back into the Selecao squad, along with another forgotten and far more wasted talent, Robinho – both players are currently plying their trade back home in the Brasileiro Serie A.

I would go for ‘Both teams to score – Yes’ here in what should be an interesting autumn Super Clasico in front of a potential 91,000 strong Chinese crowd at the National Stadium.

The previous three friendlies between the teams have all seen both teams score, and produce an above average 13 goals. The rivalry between the two South American giants should make for a fairly competitive match, short of high intensity tournament pressure, but possibly full of goal scoring chances. Barcelona team-mates Neymar and Messi have been consistent scorers in friendly Internationals in recent years; the Brazilian Neymar has contributed to 5 of his side’s 13 goals, while the mercurial Messi has netted 11 of Argentina’s last 15 goals in non-competitive matches.

Both Martino and Dunga should pick their strongest possible side for this encounter as a matter of national pride, with a more than likely experimental line-up for the following friendly three days later as Brazil face Japan and Argentina take on Hong Kong.

Defensively minded Dunga has been trying to keep things tighter at the back but has been forced to replace the injured Marquinhos this week with Inter Milan’s Juan, who will partner David Luiz in the centre of defence. Neymar is the only forward in the squad to not play in Brazil as Dunga has intentionally increased the quota of home-based players in order to try to re-connect with the disillusioned public after their disastrous World Cup exit in June. Everton Ribeiro, Diego Tardelli and Robinho will all be vying for a starting spot up front, while the Premier League trio of Willian, Coutinho and Oscar are competing for a place in the attacking midfield and wide positions.

With Messi purring at the moment for a highly functioning Barcelona, and Di Maria in fine fettle for Manchester United, I can see this being a game of goals and chances for both sides as the Argentine’s commitment to attack will leave spaces for Brazil to exploit.

Put a medium to large stake on an Over 2.5 goal result at 1.8 Euro odds or 4/5 UK.

Go for a similar sized bet on Both teams to score – Yes at 1.6 Euro odds or 3/5 UK.

Place these bets at William Hill and Claim £25 Free

Manchester United v Everton Match Preview & Tip

October 3rd, 2014

Everton’s trip to Old Trafford on Sunday does not have the same fused poignancy as last December’s 1-0 win, which was the first victory there for The Toffees in over 25 years, and of course, it also meant that David Moyes finally oversaw a winning Everton team at a top four club, but this time unfortunately for him, as the manager of Manchester United.

Roberto Martinez attempted a more solid looking formation at Anfield in the 1-1 Derby day draw last Saturday; Everton lined up in a similar shape to Liverpool’ s usual ‘diamond’ except that Brendan Rodgers went for more of a 4-2-3-1 on the day. This resulted in Everton giving their back four increased protection with Gareth Barry sitting at the base of the diamond, and Mohammed Besic and James McCarthy covering the gaps from the narrow left and right hand side positions in midfield.

The fact that Liverpool were still allowed 24 shots at goal will cause concern for Martinez (although half were from outside the penalty area and only 8 were on target compared to Everton’s 5 on target from 11 attempts) and I’d expect to see him persist with this more cautious approach against the talented attacking force of Van Persie, Falcao and Mata. Wayne Rooney is suspended and ineligible to face his old Club, but this could give Louis Van Gaal’s Red Devils side the fluidity and potency up front they’ve been searching for with Juan Mata slotting in behind the two strikers as a more natural No.10 than the England and United Captain, Rooney.

Van Gaal’s defensive crisis (only one fit central defender was available for the 2-1 win over West Ham) saw 19 year old Patrick McNair make his senior début at the weekend alongside Marcos Rojo in the heart of the defence. A convincing performance from the Northern Irish youngster will surely see him remain at centre-back and allow the £30m Luke Shaw to continue at left-back.
The latest player to be added to the injury list is perhaps the most worrying for Van Gaal; Ander Herrera’s fractured ribs puts him out of action for a while, breaking up the developing understanding between Blind, Di Maria and Mata in midfield.

The major advantage that this current Manchester United team have over Everton this weekend is their lack of participation in European competition. Martinez’s men will make a gruelling 5,000 mile round trip to play Kuban Krasnodar on Thursday evening in the Europa league as United enjoy another clear week of focused preparation. Everton have lost twice and drawn once since their 5-1 midweek Europa League exertions over Wolfsburg, and that was on home soil.
The Blues have a relatively small squad with no real experience of playing twice in one week on a regular basis. The absence of key players, Seamus Coleman and Kevin Mirallas, allied with the tough journey to Russia and lack of recovery time should see this game just sway in favour of a Manchester United victory.

Put a large stake on United to win at 1.73 Euro odds or 73/100 UK.

Champions League Preview and tips – Man City V Roma & PSG v Barcelona

September 27th, 2014

The UEFA Champions League returns for week no. 2 on Tuesday/Wednesday, and one of the most intriguing matches is the English Champions Manchester City versus AS Roma, who have began this Serie A season with 4 straight wins, conceding just 1 goal.

Coach, Rudi Garcia, has added another experienced full back this summer in the form of ex-England star, Ashley Cole, to line-up in defence with veteran right-back, Douglas Maicon.

The metronomic and ever reliable Daniele De Rossi is still the heartbeat of this team in the centre of midfield, as the fading powers of the talismanic, Francesco Totti are now confined to late substitute appearances.

Manuel Pellegrini will be going for all three points here after the defeat in Munich, but he will be wary of the Giallorossi’s threat on the counter-attack with the pace of the rejuvenated, Gervinho and the finishing power of Destro. Roma’s 5-1 win over CSKA Moscow in week no.1 means they could edge their way through this Group on goal difference if they can pick up a draw at Eastlands.

I’d plump for a small to medium sized bet on an Under 2.5 goal result at 2.18 Euro odds or 59/50 UK.

The other stand-out tie on Tuesday night is a repeat of the exciting quarter-final from two seasons ago between Paris Saint Germain and Barcelona. The Catalan Giants have tightened up at the back under new manager, Luis Enrique, not letting a single goal in so far in the new campaign.

The nature of the Group stage can produce some cautious, turgid football, and we are unlikely to see the drama and attacking openness of the 1st leg at the Parc des Princes in April 2013, which finished 2-2. Laurent Blanc’s PSG outfit rely heavily on the goals of Zlatan Ibrahimovic, (5 from his first 6 games) who missed the Parisians last Ligue Une outing at Caen through injury and may not be available on Tuesday evening.

A draw and a point here for Barca will not be a bad result against their toughest opponents in Group F, and both teams will be confident of picking up maximum points in their remaining fixtures against Ajax and Apoel Nicosia. I’d go for a medium sized stake on an Under 2.5 goal game at 1.95 Euro odds or 19/20 UK.

West Brom v Burnley – Free Under 2.5 Tip!

September 25th, 2014

West Bromwich Albion supporters were rejoicing after a much needed 1-0 win at White Hart Lane last Sunday, when Spurs again failed to perform following a tricky away from home Europa League outing, this time around it was a disappointing 0-0 draw in Belgrade.

The Baggies much maligned and unpopular new manager, Alan Irvine, picked up all three points for the first time this season, as his newly assembled squad finally gelled in North London.
West Brom have had the most departures and arrivals, player wise, of any Club in the Premier League, so a settling in period was always going to be taken into consideration, but the pressure on the new man seemed to be in place before he even began work.

Irvine will be hoping to make it back-to-back victories on Sunday afternoon as newly promoted Burnley travel south to The Hawthorns. Albion’s reserve side managed to put three past Hull City on Wednesday night, beating The Tigers 3-2 in the Capital One Cup, and equalling their total goal tally of 3 from their first 5 League games. In fact, James Morrison’s winning strike against Tottenham was West Brom’s first goal for 254 minutes of Premier League football.

Burnley’s rigid 4-4-2 approach under up and coming English manager, Sean Dyche, has seen them record three consecutive 0-0 draws in the League of late, a style which sharply contrasts with The Clarets last ill fated stay in the 2009/10 Premier League, where their naïve attempts to outscore the opposition saw them finish bottom of the table.
With Burnley failing to score in their last 4 games, coupled with West Brom’s cautious style and lack of finishing power in front of goal, a low scoring but hard fought game should be on the cards for Sky TV viewers this weekend.

Sean Dyche’s ability to obtain clean-sheets as a coach is without question; the fiery haired ex-defender oversaw 14 clean-sheets for Burnley last term, with their defence also conceding the fewest goals (37 from 44 matches) in the Championship.

Danny Ings and Sam Vokes scored 47 goals between them for The Clarets in that successful campaign, and their absence through injury makes the Lancashire Club a far less potent threat going forward. The current partnership of Lukas Jutkeiwicz and Marvin Sordell does not feel like the required Premier League standard for clincal goal scoring.

Put a medium to large stake on this game ending in Under 2.5 goals being scored at 1.73 Euro odds or 73/100 UK.

Merseyside Derby – Free Tips

September 24th, 2014

The Merseyside Derby this Saturday lunchtime will see last season’s 2nd and 5th placed teams in the Premier League come face to face at Anfield for the 223rd top flight meeting in this fixture.

The difference this term for both of these two giant clubs of the English game is the added pressure and stress of European competition. Liverpool returned to the Champions League a week ago with a last minute win over lowly Ludogrets, while Everton enjoyed a rousing 4-1 victory against a strong Wolfsburg outfit. The Mighty Reds and The Toffees then went on to lose their subsequent League matches to West Ham and Crystal Palace, respectively.

Brendan Rodgers has admitted that the midweek European action has been disrupting Liverpool’s usual preparation routine’s which proved so successful in the previous campaign.

Roberto Martinez’s Everton squad is too thin to rotate, and this could become a problem for the Spaniard as the season progresses. He made minmal changes to the side for the Palace game and this resulted in some tired legs as the game slipped away from The Blues in the second half.

The Capital One Cup has denied these youthful managers a full week of unencumbered training, but Rodgers and Martinez should still be able to focus all their energies on the upcoming Derby by fielding reserve sides against Middlesbrough and Swansea on Tuesday night.

Everton are looking for revenge after the 4-0 counter-attacking mauling that was dished out to them in January by Suarez & Co. With the Uruguayan now plying his trade in Catalonia, and his fellow strike partner, Daniel Sturridge, out injured, we may see a less goal strewn encounter than the two fixtures from last season which produced 10 goals (the 3-3 draw at Goodison Park being one of the highlights of the 2013/14 campaign). However, Martinez does not seem to waver, in a tactical sense, from his expansive and attacking approach to trying to win football matches.

The naivete of Everton’s play, since we kicked off in August, has seen them concede 13 goals from 5 matches, the highest tally in the League, while their incisive forward movement has clocked them 11 goals over the same period. I would expect to see an open, exciting Derby with Over 2.5 goals scored, as there have been in 17 of Liverpool’s last 19 games in the Premier League.

Large stake on Over 2.5 goals – 1.62 Euro odds or 31/50 UK.

Although the Mighty Reds have won 3 out of the last 4 games at Anfield, I think Everton have shown enough attacking form to get something out of this match.

With the bookmakers heavily favouring Liverpool, I believe the best value odds are to go for a medium stake bet on Double Chance for Everton at 2.0 Euro odds or 1/1 UK.

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Three Free Tips!

September 19th, 2014

3 Free Tips! Plenty of free bets for you for the weekend!

England > Premier League
QPR v Stoke, Saturday 20th September 2014, 12:45
50 points under 2.5 goals, best odds 1.57 @ Betvictor

Scotland > Championship
Alloa v Rangers, Saturday 20th September 2014, 15:00
50 points Over 2.5 goals, best odds 1.53 @ Betvictor

England > Premier League
Everton v Crystal Palace, Sunday 21st September 2014, 16:00
50 points Over 2.5 goals, best odds 1.76 @ 188bet

To get all our winners, visit our site below:

http://www.bettingsystemfootball.com

 

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