Sunderland v Newcastle – Free Tips & Match Preview

March 30th, 2015

The Premier League’s second Tyne-Wear derby of the season will feature two different managers taking charge. For the home team, fans will recognise former UEFA Cup-winning manager Dick Advocaat. On the away bench, John Carver has been tasked with the role of caretaker manager for the remainder of the season.

In the reverse of this encounter, it was Sunderland that triumphed with a 1-0 victory at James’s Park. Adam Johnson scored the winner in the 89th minute, with Newcastle unable to respond before the game ended.

Expectations

Over the past six Tyne-Wear derbies, Sunderland have dominated with four victories. Incredibly Newcastle have not been able to win once over those six games. John Carver’s Magpies will be under major pressure from their fans not to lose again to Sunderland.

The bad news for Newcastle fans is that Sunderland played pretty well in their recent 1-0 loss away to West Ham. Also, it does not help that Sunderland have a highly experienced manager in Advocaat. Despite having never managed in the Premiership, Advocaat should still be regarded with caution.

Comparatively, Sunderland are the only team here with anything really to play for. Newcastle are on 35 points and edging slowly closer to Premier League survival. In contrast, Sunderland have just 26 points are just one ahead of Burnley in 18th place. Sunderland have only managed to claim two points from their past 18.

Newcastle do not compare much better, having only earned four points from a possible 18. Complacency is the concern for Newcastle, with former manager Alan Pardew having done much of the hard work this season before leaving for the Crystal Palace job. Sunderland could use the appointment of Advocaat to generate some sudden momentum, as so often happens at this stage in a Premier League season.

Verdict

Tip one: Draw @ 3.2 with Betfair
Tip two: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.44 with Betfair

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This feels like the type of game where neither team will quite assert its dominance. Newcastle are becoming complacent while Sunderland have a new manager. A draw with Betfair will get you odds of 3.2.

Bulgaria v Italy – Euro 2016 Qualifiers 28 March 2015

March 23rd, 2015

Antonio Conte shocked European football when he resigned suddenly as Juventus manager last summer. But following three successive Serie A titles, the Italian manager had developed a high enough reputation to earn him the head coaching role with Italy.

As a national coach, Conte is slowly finding his way. In his first four qualifying games, his players have won three and drawn once from four. That places Italy on 10 points with Croatia. However, Italy only have a goal difference of four compared to Croatia’s record of nine.

Elsewhere in Group H, Bulgaria are holding fourth spot, leaving them five points behind Norway. The first three of their points came in a 2-1 away victory over Azerbaijan, which came in the first group match. However, their only point since came in a 1-1 home draw versus Malta.

Expectations

Bulgaria are not set up to be an attacking force, which explains how the defensive team were unable to overcome a dogged Malta side. In losing just 1-0 to group leaders Croatia, Bulgaria were able to prove their defensive qualities. They will sit back and attempt to frustrate Italy.

There is every chance that Bulgaria could frustrate Italy. For starters, the Italians are just a few games into understanding a new system. Crucially, it will have been approximately four-and-a-half months since the team played together. That will leave plenty of rustiness in the side.

A concern with new international football regimes is that players need time to gel with one another. Unfortunately for Antonio Conte, this could be a big problem against Bulgaria. His players could let a goal slip due to an error, leaving an unfamiliar attack trying to open up a tight defence that is unwilling to give up.

Match Tips

Tip one: Draw @ 3.5 with Betfair
Tip two: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.47 with Betfair

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International fixtures are rarely certain, which is why backing a draw at odds of 3.5 with Betfair could prove to be a wise wager. A safer possibility is to back under 2.5 goals for two teams that are not overly prolific in their recent form.

Liverpool v Man Utd

March 16th, 2015

The ramifications of this encounter are huge, with both teams desperate to clinch the fourth Champions League spot behind Chelsea, Man City, and Arsenal. Additionally, Liverpool will want to continue their impressive recent form by overcoming the demons of their 3-0 December defeat at Old Trafford.

Things have been coming together nicely for Liverpool, of course setting aside their departure from the Europa League. The Anfield side are a win away from moving to the semi final of the FA Cup, while Man Utd are still within reach in the final Champions League place.

Louis van Gaal silenced many critics who were eager to point out how grateful Tottenham were that they did not appoint the enigmatic Dutchman. The 3-0 home win over Tottenham was the perfect way to start what will be a tricky run of fixtures against top-six teams.

Winning so convincingly against Tottenham has added importance, as Liverpool will press Man Utd hard between now and the end of the season. Fourth place is only a realistic outcome for these heated rivals.

Expectations

These days, Liverpool line up with 3-4-3 formation. After struggling greatly during the earl portion of the season, Liverpool are now capable of keeping clean sheets and actually scoring goals. Their team has really come together since the tactical switch. Liverpool will present few surprises with their tactical approach, and that consistency will serve them well against Man Utd.

In contrast, there is no telling as to how Louis van Gaal will approach games. For instance, the was switched from three at the back to four at the back, while Juana Mata made an unexpected return against Tottenham. Van Gaal must go with a similar line-up to the Tottenham game and forget about experimenting.

Match Tips

Tip one: Liverpool to win @ 2.10 with bet365
Tip two: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.85 with bet365

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There were three goals in the reverse of this fixture in September, all of which went to Man Utd. This time around, Liverpool are playing much better in defence. Therefore, they could probably win this game with just a single goal.

Man Utd v Tottenham

March 9th, 2015

Having played Arsenal in the FA Cup quarter finals on Monday night, a difficult period has now begun for Man Utd. First up for them in the league is Tottenham, which is a potentially tricky encounter.

After the past couple of weeks, it has become clear to football analysts that Louis van Gaal is purposely encouraging his players to control the game at the expense of taking risks. And after shipping two goals away to Swansea in a 2-1 loss, it is clear that van Gaal is right not to trust his defence.

For a while, Tottenham’s season was extremely exciting for the fans. Once the side began to hit peak form over Christmas, they managed to defeat Chelsea 5-3. Along with playing for a Champions League place, Spurs were still in the League Cup, FA Cup, and Europa League.

Now, though, Spurs’ best chance at success is to finish fifth and earn guaranteed entry to the Europa League. And much of their success can be attributed to the meteoric rise of 21-year-old striker Harry Kane, without whom Spurs would be suffering greatly.

Expectations

While Louis van Gaal has wisely favoured stable tactics to mask his team’s defensive deficiencies, he is still not entirely committed to selecting the right players. For instance, only recently has Wayne Rooney returned to a striking role. The issue for this game is that van Gaal might again try to cram in players who do not quite fit.

When this match was played at White Hart Lane, the outcome was a 0-0 draw. Now, Spurs are in much better form and will fancy their chances against the Reds. This could be a tight encounter, with Spurs afforded opportunities to counter Man Utd’s attacks and score on the break.

Match Tips

Tip one: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 with bet365
Tip two: Tottenham @ 4.50 with bet365

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The odds of 1.75 for Man Utd winning are not particularly rewarding for what will be a tough game for the Reds to win. Alternatively, backing Tottenham at 4.50 with bet365 could lead to a lucrative payout for going with the upset.

QPR v Tottenham – Free Tips

March 2nd, 2015

QPR v Tottenham – EPL 7 March 2015

After facing Arsenal at Loftus Road on Wednesday night, the reward for QPR is to next host Tottenham on Saturday. Despite having a game in hand and being able to potentially remain outside of the relegation zone, life is undeniably tough for Rangers.

Since Harry Redknapp left his role as manager, supposedly due to a knee injury, QPR turned to Chris Ramsey to act as interim manager for the remainder of the season. Nicknamed Rambo, it will be a tall order for this first-time Premier League manager to prevent his team from being relegated.

Tottenham were full of expectation ahead of facing Chelsea in the Capital One Cup final on Sunday, but the confidence gleaned from beating the Blues 5-3 at Christmas was quickly eroded. Mauricio Pochettino had to guide Spurs through a home game against Swansea before facing QPR.

On paper, this is an away game that Tottenham absolutely need to win. First of all, this is a game in hand that Spurs could use to try and move past Southampton. Secondly, this is a London derby. And thirdly, chairman Daniel Levy will be desperate for his club to challenge for Champions League qualification.

Expectations

Prior to the midweek Premier League matches, QPR had conceded the most goals thus far, along with Burnley. Meanwhile, Spurs have mustered 19 away goals in 12 matches, which is better than 1.5 goals every game.

This is the type of away game in which a team like Spurs can score at least a couple of goals. Harry Kane has been prolific in recent games, supported by the intelligent attacking play of playmaker Christian Eriksen. Spurs have to pick themselves up after the Chelsea loss and get back to playing well.

Match Tips

Tip one: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 with Betfair
Tip two: Harry Kane anytime goal scorer @ 1.95 with Betfair

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QPR easily have one of the worst defensive records in the league. Going with the goals in your bets will make a lot sense. Surprisingly, the odds for Harry Kane to score any time are better than for Spurs actually winning (1.83).

Newcastle v Aston Villa – Free under 2.5 & Double Chance Tips

February 23rd, 2015

Newcastle endured a torrid journey south to the Etihad, where they lost 5-0 in a demoralising defeat to current champions Man City last weekend. Manager John Carver will have a difficult week trying to elevate the mood of his squad and prepare them for an important home game against struggling Aston Villa.

Although Aston Villa are currently struggling, they do have a new manager in Tim Sherwood. Compared to former manager Paul Lambert, Tim Sherwood is more committed to playing attractive football. That is exactly what is required for Villa, who have the league’s worst attacking record, netting just 13 times in 26 games.

Expectations

Newcastle have to be the side with the lower morale, so it is vital that the players pull themselves together and find some belief. A 5-0 defeat could easily trigger a dismal run of results between now and the end of the season. At present, Newcastle are eight points from the safe mark of 40 points and have 12 games remaining.

Aston Villa were incredibly unlucky to concede a 92nd minute strike from Victor Moses last Saturday and succumb to a 2-1 home defeat against Stoke City. Villa had just influential captain Ron Vlaar from their defence, which made them more susceptible to a late goal from the Potters. And before losing to Stoke, they managed to find belief with a 2-1 win over Leicester in the FA Cup Fifth Round.

There’s an opportunity here for Aston Vila to come in and put pressure on Newcastle, but that will be tough for the Villains. Against Stoke, they could only muster two attempts on goal. However, Newcastle are currently less imposing in defence than Stoke. As for the Magpies attacking prospects, there would be more hope if striker Papiss Cissé could remain fit for the rest of the season.

Match Tips

Tip one: Aston Villa double chance, best odds 1.91 @ Bet365
Tip two: Under 2.5 goals best odds best odds 1.67 @ 188bet

This is a match with a potentially uncertain outcome, so backing Aston Villa on double chance makes sense, as there could be struggles ahead for Newcastle. A tense game could lead to under 2.5 goals being scored.

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Liverpool v Southampton – Free Tips

February 17th, 2015

Liverpool have the opportunity to claim another worthy scalp to add to the 3-2 victory they earned over Tottenham in the last round of the Premier League. However, Ronald Koeman will be bringing the league’s best defence to Anfield.

Comparatively, Southampton have only conceded 17 goals in 25 league games, whereas Spurs have conceded 34. Southampton will be much more challenging to score against for a side that is only beginning to find attacking confidence.

And key to the attacking confidence of Liverpool is talisman Daniel Sturridge, who is at last returning to form after a long injury layoff. Crucially, Sturridge is not just important for his goal scoring, as he proved when he contributed two assists in the win over Spurs.

Sturridge was a big part of why Luis Suárez was prolific last season, as the England striker was willing to play wide of the Uruguayan and make dangerous runs to draw defenders out of position. Sturridge is the complete striker when he is fit.

Expectations

Daniel Sturridge only played 71 minutes against Spurs and then 78 against Crystal Palace in the fifth round of the FA Cup. Although he is coming back to fitness, Liverpool manager Brendan Rodgers still has to be a little bit cautious in his use of Sturridge. Therefore, it would be surprising to seem him play all of this game.

Southampton entirely deserve their defensive record, but one that they don’t is their attacking record. Despite scoring 38 goals in 25 games, the figure is clearly inflated by the Saints’ 8-0 hammering of Sunderland in October. And their goal scoring struggles were obvious in the recent 0-0 home draw against 10-men West Ham.

Ronald Koeman’s 4-3-3 formation favours a conservative midfield trio that is not highly creative. Consequently, the once in-form Graziano Pellè has not scored in eight league games. Southampton’s goal struggles could continue here.

Match Tips

Tip one: Under 2.5 goals, best odds 1.80 @ Ladbrokes
Tip two: Draw, best odds 3.40 @ Ladbrokes
Tip three: Draw and under 2.5 goals, best odds 2.6 @ Ladbrokes

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Koeman knows how to avoid defeat. Combine a draw with under 2.5 goals for dramatically increased odds for this matchup.

Derby v Reading Free Tips

February 9th, 2015

Steve McLaren and his Derby County team look to be obvious promotion candidates from the Championship. Only Bournemouth and Middlesbrough look like they could prevent Derby from actually winning the league.

In the meantime, Derby have a cup run to focus on. Following an uneventful 1-0 over Southport in the third round, the Rams dispatched Chesterfield with a more convincing 2-0 margin. Next up, Reading in the fifth round.

Comparatively, Reading are lower down in the Championship table than Derby. Having been relatively patchy at times, Reading’s form has improved to push them closer to the middle of the table. Even still, this game will be tough.

The reason why you should consider backing this Championship matchup in the FA Cup’s fifth round is that Derby have favourable odds in a number of markets, even to win outright.

Expectations

Reading is the team to start with in presenting the expectations. Based on away form, Reading have been very poor, whereas at home they have been much better. In fact, Reading concede an average of approximately two goals for every game they play away.

Conceding heavily away is not likely to breed success against a Derby team with one of the Championship’s highest goal scorers in Chris Martin, who has netted 16 league goals. Provided that the Derby midfield can create a few chances, goals are likely to come for the Rams.

Match Tips

Tip one: Derby to win, best odds 1.67 @ William Hill
Tip two: Derby to win to nil, best odds 2.75 @ 888

Some sites are willing to offer in the region of 1.60 on a Derby win, which is surprising because of how likely the Rams are to emerge victorious in 90 minutes. Don’t forget that Reading are very poor away from home, often conceding heavily, which will clearly work to Derby’s favour.

To enhance your Derby win, add on that they will win to nil. Going for over/under goals is a risk, as Derby could sit back if they go 2-0 up against Reading. In general, cup games don’t have as many goals as league encounters, so adding on win to nil makes sense here.

West Ham v Manchester United Free Tips & Preview – 8 February 2015

February 2nd, 2015

Three losses in six league games have pushed West Ham down to eighth place in the league, quelling any discussion of the Hammers playing in Europe next season. The most recent loss came at Anfield, where West Ham lost 2-0 on Saturday. And they were very poor, only commanding 34% of the possession and mustering four attempts on goal.

Man United favoured a lot better at the weekend, comfortably beating Leicester 3-1 at Old Trafford and doing their best to exorcise the demons of the embarrassing 5-3 defeat earlier in the season. Next up, the Reds have a chance to improve on their mediocre away form.

However, it won’t be easy, as West Ham have won seven from 12 games at home – that’s sixth in the league based on home form. Comparatively, Man Utd are seventh in the league on away form. Out of 11 games, they have drawn six and won only three. Louis van Gaal will need to display better away form to clinch a Champions League spot.

Expectations

West Ham are going to play better than against Liverpool because they will be back at Upton Park, but will it be enough? Manager Sam Allardyce will be concerned because that four of his defenders are struggling with minor injuries, and that could prove fatal against Man United’s extravagant attackers.

Additionally, Diafra Sakho could also miss out with a suspension for leaving the Africa Cup of Nations early and playing for West Ham in the FA Cup. Should Sakho and Andy Carroll be unable to play, United’s defence will feel a lot more comfortable about this Sunday encounter.

Louis van Gaal finally relented and lined up with a four-man defence. Consequently, the team looked much better than with three at the back and were able to link up well. And while the Reds weren’t at their best, they should feel more comfortable against West Ham.

Match Tips

Tip one: Under 2.5 goals, best odds 1.94 @ 188bet
Tip two: Man United and 2.5 goals, best odds 3.80 @ BetVictor

West Ham have only conceded 10 goals in 12 home games, so backing under 2.5 goals makes sense. Adding a Man United win will improve the odds.

Genoa v Atalanta – Free Under 2.5 Goal Tip

January 3rd, 2015
Impressive week on Football Betting Master with 6/6 winners. Here’s a free tip for you to give you a taste of the service
Italy > Serie A
Genoa v Atalanta, Tuesday 6th January, 14:00
50 points Under 2.5 goals, best odds 1.70 @ Betvictor
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