The odds for draws in most football games are really tasty, you can find a price of 3.50 or even more on most matches. That’s the reason many people are placing their money on ties, but there’s a good reason for the high odds. Draws occur rarely which makes them difficult to predict. Even a single random event like a bad mistake from a player or the referee could ruin your draw bets. This means you have to be extra careful with your picks. If you want to learn how to predict draws accurately, here are some useful tips that can help you develop a reliable draw betting system.
Check the Stats
Certain leagues and teams are more likely to draw than others. It is a good idea to find them and place your money there. You have to be careful, though, as bookmakers use this data and give lower odds in such cases. That’s the reason it’s not enough to just pick a league or a team with lots of draws. You have to pick exactly the events that are most likely to end in a tie. Research is the key to ensure your draw predictions are as accurate as possible.
Decide on Your Draw Prediction System
Everyone looks at statistics slightly differently including the bookies who price up the bets. You need to stick to a system and test to see if it works to your liking. For instance you may look at the last 10 games. You may also just look at the last 6 or split games into away and home fixtures. You may also look for opportunities where big teams cancel each other out. Also games with a lot at stake can also be good opportunities because neither team is going to risk losing.
Go for Low-Scoring Teams
Teams that rely mostly on their discipline at the back are more likely to draw more games. Just think about it that way – if a certain club’s games finish with less than 2.5 goals most of the time there is a bigger chance of a tie. Their whole mentality and style suggest they will be more likely to protect a point than search for the win towards the end a game. Also, they rarely score goals out of nothing that could ruin your bets.
Use a Large Bankroll
Since the probability of a draw is almost never higher than 35%, there’s lots of variation involved. You could be in the middle of losing streaks quite often and if you’re not careful, you might lose your whole bankroll. We would suggest placing no more than 3-4% of your total betting money at once on a draw. This way you won’t lose it all after a bad run. This will mean you have more time to perfect your draw betting system.
Consider Cash Out
You may find that after say 80 minutes of your football bet both teams are scoring. It could make sense to cash out and avoid late goals. Be careful with this draw strategy as bookmakers generally don’t give decent cash out odds in our opinion. However if you are knowlegeable about the game and you feel a team is about to score and ruin your bet it makes sense to consider a cash out for a slightly lower payout.
Conclusion
As you can see, betting on draws in football could be tricky and you have to be careful. Still, with a good game selection and enough discipline you can potentially make some money. Make sure to pick the right games and be patient for the best long-term results.
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