If you look at the below stats you’ll see which bets pay out the most to the customer (closer to 100% the better)

Man City v Arsenal

Win-Draw-WIN 97.8%

AH -1 City – 98.6%

BTTS – 97.1%

Double Chance – 96%

Draw No Bet – 95.9%

Over/Under 3.5 – 95.8%

Over/Under 2.5 – 95.1%

Liverpool v West Ham

Win-Draw-WIN 98.8%

BTTS – 97.1%

Double Chance – 96.4%

Draw No Bet – 95.9%

Over/Under 3.5 – 95.7%

AH -1 Liverpool – 95.5%

Over/Under 2.5 – 94.7%

Newcastle v Tottenham

Win-Draw-WIN 98%

AH -1 Tottenham – 97.5%

BTTS – 97.4%

Draw No Bet – 96.4%

Double Chance – 95.8%

Over/Under 2.5 – 95.6%

Over/Under 3.5 – 94.8%

This is pretty much what I would expect which bodes well if you are backing 1X2 bets. Basically, the percentages above are what goes back to customers so if its 97.8%, the bookie takes a 2.2 margin whatever the outcome. 

The higher the bookie margin the harder it is for us to profit on.

The best markets seem to be 1X2 AH and BTTS, Double Chance and DNB also are not too bad.

This is Premier League also as soon as you go to any lower divisions or obscure leagues the percentage the bookies take goes up on ALL markets. 

You can see it all on oddsportal.com

So if you are going to bet on Football I would recommend the following…

1. Bet on 1X2, BTTS or AH primarily if you can
2. If not bet on Double Chance or DNB
3. Bet on the Main Leagues (if you can), generally the top premier leagues (although Scotland prem is not good, and conversely English championship and league 1 & 2 are fine)

Basically, bookies appear to take more money from customers on certain markets, probably a lot to do with liquidity and a lack of confidence in their ability to correctly price up lesser known matches, so they just build in a bigger profit margin to ensure they make a profit.

If you want to bet on something like an Anytime Goalscorer or something more exotic this is something to just judge yourself as its difficult to see on what players the bookmaker makes the edge on this. 

Personally, I think markets such as correct score, first goalscorer, number of cards etc are all difficult and only make sense if you have some specialist knowledge or you know the price you are getting is “value”. If you do have unusual methods on these markets get in touch! As would love to know how others make these kinds of bets work.

The post Which is most Profitable Football Betting Market? appeared first on Football Betting Master.

Very few would’ve predicted that Joachim Low’s side would fail to progress from Group F, where they were up against Sweden, Mexico and Korea Republic – four good teams, but not on the same level as Germany. However, Low’s side managed just one victory, losing to both Mexico and Korea either side of their triumph over Sweden, leaving their defence of the trophy in tatters. 

The final standings in Group F…#GER finish bottom of a #WorldCup group for the first time in history.

This tournament is wild pic.twitter.com/PxfRmCvmyl

— Match of the Day (@BBCMOTD) June 27, 2018

An inquest has already begun in Germany, with many questioning where Low’s side go from here. Even whilst the remainder of the World Cup 2018 takes place, many are wondering the type of side Germany might roll out in two years time, when they could be a very dangerous outfit at Euro 2020, no matter what changes are made now. 

Domestically, their players will now be turning their attention to their club season, with players set to return to a number of different countries. The bulk of Germany’s squad will be heading back to their homeland, with many of them part of Bayern Munich’s squad, including captain Manuel Neuer, Matts Hummels, Jerome Boateng and Thomas Muller, who was sensationally dropped by Low after an underwhelming start to the competition. 

Bayern’s German contingent will return to their club as heavy, heavy favourites to win next season’s Bundesliga, with Bayern priced at 1/7 in bet365’s Bundesliga betting market. (odds correct 3rd July 2018 and subkject to change)

Even taking into consideration that Germany and the likes of Neuer and Muller have just crashed out of the World Cup 2018 in spectacular fashion, it’s hard to see past Niko Kovac’s side picking up the title next season, after six consecutive titles. 

A look back at #FCBayern‘s sixth successive #Bundesliga title

https://t.co/XPgwsvHu2H #MiaSanMia #MiaSanMeister pic.twitter.com/xEbyjpYHxN

— FC Bayern English (@FCBayernEN) June 11, 2018

The chasing pack are so often miles behind Bayern, with the final 2017/18 table no different. Bayern finished on 84 points from their 34 fixtures, 21 points clear of Schalke in second. 

Next year, though, could well be different in the Bundesliga, particularly if certain members of Bayern’s squad return from the World Cup 2018 with a hangover from a disastrous tournament. Of course, other Bundesliga players will be hurting from failure at the tournament, but for so long, Bayern’s players have been the heartbeat of the national side, transferring their domestic form onto the international stage and vice versa.    

World Cup 2018 exit at the group stage has hurt a lot of Bayern’s players, with Neuer’s mistake against Korea Republic, Boateng’s red card against Sweden and Low dropping Muller, all low points for individuals. 

Exits like that at a major tournament either make or break players, with many excellent players around the world never fully recovering from disappointment on the biggest stage of all. 

Of course, Germany as a nation is hurting badly after such a pathetic defence, but supporters of clubs other than Bayern could take some positives, highlighting World Cup 2018 failure as something that could change the balance of power back in the Bundesliga and potentially end Bayern’s dominance.   

The post Bundesliga 2018/19: Will Germany’s Failings Hurt Bayern? appeared first on Football Betting Master.

World Cup 2018 in Russia: how far will Germany go?” (CC BY 2.0) by marcoverch

Thinking of betting on the 2018 World cup, but don’t know which markets to choose? With 32 teams split into eight groups and hundreds of markets available, it can be hard to know where to start.

At the beginning of the tournament, you might be tempted to try and predict the outright winner and this can be a good time to get decent odds, even on the favourites. However, a lot can happen over the course of a month-long event. Players can get injured, teams can suffer shock results and coaches can even be removed (take Spain for example). So, it is sometimes better to look for value in the shorter term.

Predicting which teams will win or progress from the groups can be a good place to start. By using your knowledge of the game and looking at the statistics, clued up punters can be quite accurate at predicting which teams will finish where in each group.

You bet on who will win the group, who will finish second, third or bottom or that a particular team will or won’t qualify for the next round without specifying position. You can also bet that a team will win all of their group matches.

Beyond the group stages, World Cup betting is all about the individual match-ups. And at this point, you can use the same kind of methodology that you might apply to a domestic cup match. You can look at the statistics and form of each team, historic results and consider factors such as injuries and suspension that have been picked up during the earlier rounds.

Another popular market is the Top Scorer (or Golden Boot) market. Football is all about goals, so it is no surprise that this market attracts a lot of attention. There is even a special award for the players that top the scoring charts. However, the top scorer is not always the player that starts as favourite and much can depend on the overall performance of the team that the player is in. Some of the best goalscorers do not always play for the top teams, so you have to consider how far that player’s team might go in a tournament.

The official Golden Boot, Golden Glove, and Golden Ball have been unveiled ahead of the 2018 #WorldCup…

1️⃣ Top scorer: ______.
2️⃣ Most clean sheets: ______.
3️⃣ Best player: ______.

Who are you backing to win the three individual awards? ? pic.twitter.com/JtXMpeYBhg

— Football on BT Sport (@btsportfootball) June 10, 2018

In Brazil four years ago, the surprise Golden Boot winner was James Rodriguez of Colombia. In a tournament featuring, Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez, Neymar, Thomas Muller, Alexis Sánchez, Robin van Persie and David Villa, few expected the 22-year-old midfielder to bag the prize.

If you don’t fancy picking the overall top scorer, you can bet on who will score the most goals for a particular team. So if you think Diego Costa will top the Spanish scoring charts, there is a market available for that wager.

The World Cup only comes around every four years. Betting on the tournament can add some extra excitement to individual games and enhance your overall enjoyment of the tournament – especially if you land a winner.

The post Top World Cup Betting Markets to Win Big This Summer appeared first on Football Betting Master.

The undeniable beauty of any World Cup tournament is the genuine possibility of upsets. In an instant, players many of us might never have heard of before can become household names, helping their underdog nations achieve surprise results against the powerhouses of the global game.

Think back to Cameroon striker Roger Milla dancing by the corner flag to celebrate his goals at Italy 1990 or, more recently, Costa Rica topping a group that featured Uruguay, Italy and England, then reaching the quarterfinals at Brazil 2014. It’s the stuff that World Cup dreams are made of and make these tournaments all the more enjoyable; especially if you’ve backed some of the less fancied teams.

Following the draw for the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia, as we anticipate the thrills and excitement of the tournament beginning in June, the group stage offers some very real possibilities for upsets, with the chance that less fancied nations could make it through to the knock-out stages.

Whichever of the 32 teams competing this summer catch your attention the most, when getting ready to place wagers during the tournament, comparing bookmaker sign up and free bet offers at Oddschecker makes good sense, with many offering enhanced and money-back specials at the World Cup.

As we take a look at three teams that could be the surprise packages during the group stages at the 2018 World Cup, making the most of such offers becomes all the more appealing, for those who fancy a flutter on some of the underdogs.

Group A: Egypt, Russia, Saudia Arabia, Uruguay

As the host nation, the weight of expectation rests firmly on the shoulders of the Russian players and their coaching staff, which makes them one of the favourites to progress from Group A. The potent attacking trio of Edinson Cavani, Luis Suárez and Cristhian Stuani, all of whom have been in superb form this season, also makes Uruguay a team that should progress comfortably.

Assuming with good reason that Saudia Arabia will likely be the group’s whipping boys, Egypt will be the team to watch in Group A, especially boasting Mohamed Salah in their ranks. Although it’s often said that one man doesn’t make a team, the Liverpool forward has been outstanding this season, both in the Premier League and the Champions League. If that form continues, the Egyptians will certainly be capable of springing a surprise or two at the 2018 World Cup.

Image Source: @WorldSoccerMag via Twitter

Group B: Iran, Morocco, Portugal, Spain

Taking a quick glance at this group, Spain and Portugal are the obvious favourites to progress. Both teams are packed with stellar players but the encounter between the two sides could prove decisive and make their respective games against Iran and Morocco all the more important for qualification, with the Iranians potentially the most likely cause any upsets.

Iran manager Carlos Queiroz boasts an enormous wealth of tactical knowledge, particularly when it comes to both Portuguese and Spanish football, which he’ll put to particularly good use when preparing his team for the encounters with those two rivals. They might not boast any famous stars, but Iran under Queiroz have become a tactically flexible side, able to defend and attack well as a compact unit, making them a team that’s very difficult to beat and one that shouldn’t be underestimated.

Image Source: @WorldSoccerMag via Twitter

Group D: Argentina, Croatia, Iceland, Nigeria

Considering that Lionel Messi is considered one of the clear favourites to top the World Cup scoring charts, many are considering Argentina as a sure bet to qualify from the group stage with ease. Meanwhile, Croatia arguably boast one of the strongest midfields at the 2018 tournament, with players like Ivan Rakitic of Barcelona alongside Mateo Kovacic and Luka Modric of Real Madrid, or Ivan Perisic and Marcelo Brozovic of Inter Milan.

Image Source: @footballiceland via Twitter

However, despite having so many star players in their sides, Argentina scraped into the tournament and Croatia were very hit and miss. Indeed, Croatia actually finished behind Iceland in their qualification group, and as fate would have it, the two sides feature in the same group at the World Cup finals. Few can forget the marvellous support and team determination Iceland showed at Euro 2016, which makes them one of those carefree “nothing to lose” kind of underdogs that few rivals will cherish facing.

The post World Cup 2018 Preview appeared first on Football Betting Master.

At St.James Park, manager Rafael Benitez has been low on signings this season spending just a total of £31.5 million on 4 players – Christian Atsu (Chelsea Mid-fielder), Florian Lejeune (Eibar Defender), Jacob Murphy (Norwich mid- firelder) and Javier Manquillo (Atletico Madrid defender). It’s quite unlikely that Benitez is going to try any of them against Tottenham. But in the strikers department, the Magpies look spoiled for choice. Dwight Gayle, who was rested in  the Magpies pre-seaon friendly against Hellas Verona will probably start off in the Tottenham clash. Ayoze Perez, Gayle and the enigmatic 22-year old Serb Aleksandar Mitrovic will take on the striking responsibilities for the home side.

Newcastle’s recent form has been much better than the Spurs. The Magpies lost in just one of the six pre-season games they featured in the July-August period. Nevertheless, Tottenham are the bookmakers’ favourite to win the St.James Park opener.

But surprisingly odds (Bet 365) for a 1-1 are 7/1 while for a 1-0 Tottenham win it’s 15/2 and for a 2-1 win it’s 8/1. Odds (Bet 365) for Newcastle 1-0 and 2-1 wins stand at a steep 16/1 each – the latter could very well be a surprise score.

Harry Kane tops the odds as far as first scorers go at 13/5 while for the Magpies it’s Dwight Gayle at 13/2.

The post Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur – 13 August 2017 – St. James Park – EPL Preview appeared first on Football Betting Master.

The Serbian squad has six English-based players with Chelsea midfielder Nemanja Matic and Manchester City back Aleksandar Kolarov being the most prominent ones. Newcastle striker Aleksandar Mitrovic, left-winger Dusan Tadic of Southampton, mid-fielder Harbor Milivojevic (Crystal Palace) and goal-keeper Vladimir Stojkovic (Nottingham Forest) are among the others. Ex-Chelsea defender Branislav Ivanovic who currently plays for Russian outfit, Zenit Petersburg, should also make the cut in the playing XI for the Wales clash along with those already mentioned.

A win for the Welsh side at Belgrade will be of paramount importance as the outcome of the Republic of Ireland – Austria at Dublin could put immense pressure on their chances of qualifying for WC 2018. The Irish, the favourites for the Dublin clash, would be happy even with a draw given their favourable 2nd position in the Group with 11 points (same as Serbia).

The Welsh have bitter memories of their last trip to the Red Star Stadium when they were humiliated 1-6 by Serbia. But that was way back in 2012 and Chris Coleman’s side now are a much-improved one even without Gareth Bale. But few are wagering on a positive results for the Welsh on Sunday as the odds below would suggest.

odds

Serbia win: 4/5

Draw: 9/4

Wales win: 4/1

The post WC2018 Qualifiers preview – Serbia v Wales – Red Star Stadium, Belgrade appeared first on Football Betting Master.

A under-pressure Arsene Wenger could try his new 3-4-3 formation that exactly didn’t work wonders with Middlesbrough. With one man less in the defence, the Boro were able to counter-attack and find gaps at will, a aspect that could not have eluded Pep Guardiola as he prepares to meet the Gunners on April 23. It’s hard to imagine what would happen if Alexis Sanchez were to leave the Emirates, for right now he’s Arsenal’s lone saving grace. With forms having completely deserted once-vaunted players like Theo Walcott, Ozil and Olivier Giroud, the Gunners’ only hope of producing something at the Wembley would rest on the brilliant Chilean striker.

Sergio Aguero will be a solid threat to an already shaky Arsenal defence and with the likes of Sterling, Sane, Silva and De Bruyne adding firepower to the City attack, it would be a miracle if Arsenal were to come away with a clean sheet.

Manchester City’s lone win in the FA Cup after 1969 was in 2011. No one excepting Manchester United has won the FA Cup more number of times than Arsenal. Of the Gunners 12 wins so for, two were in as recent as 2014 and 2015. In their present dismal form, few are expecting them to achieve the feat for the 13th time. As for the April 23rd clash at the Wembley, Pep Guardiola’s men are the clear favourites.

Bet 365 odds

Man City win: 10/11

Arsenal win: 29/10

The post Arsenal V Manchester City – FA Cup Semi-final – 23 April, 2017 appeared first on Football Betting Master.

If you are a consistent winner, you probably know that already or you are about to find out at some point. The question is if there is a way to avoid it somehow. While it is not easy, there are things you can do and at least extend the life of your account. In this article, we will try to give you the best advice in this direction.

Use Multiple Bookmakers

This is one of the most obvious choices, but if you manage to spread your bets across several places, you will stay under the radar longer. One of the disadvantages is that your money should be moved between the operators and sometimes you will have to take worse odds, but it’s an inevitable price.

The good thing is that you won’t be winning too much at a certain bookmaker and your accounts will be fully functional. This is essential if you want to keep making money.

Use Betting Exchanges

If you decide to use the services of a betting exchange like Betfair, for example, you can completely avoid the problem. They don’t care who wins and who doesn’t, so they don’t restrict players’ accounts. The issue with this approach is that sometimes there won’t be enough volume for the wager you want to place and this creates a natural limitation. However, if you prefer popular sports, leagues and markets, you will find enough action most of the time.

Check Asian Bookies

Some Asian bookmakers, most notably Pinnacle, have a different strategy and try to reach the highest volumes and balance the books in a way that they don’t really care who wins. Such operators use special software that constantly moves the prices according to the cash flows and adjusts everything. This way, they have a certain percentage of profit, no matter how the games end. These bookmakers gladly accept winners and have very high betting limits. If you are making good money and are tired of trying to find a loophole, they might be the best choice.

The post Why Do Bookies Restrict Winners And How To Avoid That? appeared first on Football Betting Master.

Dele Alli didn’t start off in the Playing XI, but was introduced in the second half. Having a player like Dele Alli on the bench for so long seemed to be a judgmental error on Allardyce’s part, for proceedings livened up a lot after the introduction of the Tottenham midfielder and probably resulting in England’s last minute goal. Rather Allardyce chose to begin with four of Alli’s Spur team-mates – Harry Kane, Kyle Walker, Danny Rose and Eric Dier. While Walker, Rose and Dier showed lot of vigor and initiative in the midfield, Kane’s exceptional finishing skills were nowhere to be seen, which is why the omission of someone like Leicester’s Jamie Vardy was truly puzzling.

Raheem Sterling looked his opportunistic self in the first half of the Slovakia match and created a clear chance, but his quality just dipped as the match wore on. John Stones at the back did not have to do much defending thanks to a nearly 70 per cent possession by his team, but showed some real initiative in essaying the ball to midfield and forward positions. Eric Dier and Jordan Henderson spent most of the time acting as defensive shields to Rooney’s midfield position. Gary Cahill hardly had to play the role of a centre-back and was engaged upfront putting his head to ball whenever the opportunity presented itself with no results.

Joe Hart, whose place in the final XI seemed to be in doubt had virtually nothing to do between the posts. It was only Adam Lallana who got plenty of the ball and was able to make deep inroads into a Slovakian defense already weakened by a 57th minute expulsion of Martin Skrtel. He struck the post once and drew a miraculous save from Slovakia keeper Matus Kozacik before netting one in just a minute before the final whistle.

Allaryce had claimed before the commencement of the match that he would be satisfied with 0-0 draw, a result enacted out when the two teams had met in the Euro 2016. But to have produced the same result against a Slovakia down to 10 men would have been inexcusable. Take away Lallana’s performance, it was a lacklustre and average show by England and Allardyce needs to consider himself lucky that he got away with a win on his debut.

Odds for the win were 11/10 and England are now hot favourites to top the group with odds on winning the group at 1/5. With such poor odds on offer for England, Scotland is a better bet for a top 2 finish at 4/5. For Free bets to place on this check out ExclusiveBonus.co.uk for all the best betting deals.

The post NOT A VERY INSPIRING START FOR ALLARDYCE’S ENGLAND appeared first on Football Betting Master.

William Hill has full football coverage with decent odds. They also have many obscure leagues which is particularly important as these can be rewarding with the right strategy.

William Hill will also give you £30 in free bets to get you started!

Click Here to Get Your Free £30 Bet at William Hill

William Hill £30 Free Bet Offer – 18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 13.04.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook. Further terms apply. #ad

Over/Under is a great football betting market to try to game and you can often improve your chances with over under betting tips. There have been many more goals in the last decade in most world leagues. The teams are scoring more than before. The best players in the world compete to see who can score more goals than others. This type of bet is very good for a novice and sometimes turns out to be a headache for the more experienced punter.

Football is unpredictable and at any time everything can change with a goal. There are many who believe they have the formula to calculate how many goals a team can make in a game. Most betting systems for Over/Under are based on statistics and average home team advantage. Favourite teams tend to score many goals but occasionally a surprise appears against inferior teams.

Leagues have evolved over the years, they are now more competitive and players have developed a higher level. European leagues have improved their level since the Champions League was created and after passing through a rebrand. The teams have been striving more to classify and this is demonstrated in the number of goals that are scored per game nowadays.

The Over / Under bets will always be a more straightforward option for bettors. It is a bet where you do not need to worry about the winner, but only about how many goals are scored.

The best leagues for goal betting on Over/Under

We have listed all major leagues according to their category of High and Low Scoring for betting Over/Under goals:

High Scoring Leagues – Perfect for Over 2.5 Goal Bets

Premier League Championship Group (Kazakhstan)

A country which almost no one hears, but in Kazakhstan exists one of the most dispute league with the highest percentage of success for betting Over. This league is averaging 3.1 goals per game with a winning percentage of 100% for bets Over 2.5.

NorZone Premier League (Australia)

Australia has the highest average number of goals per game. Betting Over / Under in football matches in Australia is almost easy money. Players love to score many goals. This league has an average of 5.18 goals per game with a winning percentage of 87% for bets Over 2.5.

Interkretsserien U19 (Norway)

The league for young guys who play in Norway is highly competitive and you can see many goals per game. Young people compete to enter teams in the first division. This league has an average of 4.77 goals per game with a winning percentage of 82% for bets Over 2.5.

3. Divisjon avd. 10 (also the division 8,3,12 and 7) (Norway)

Another lower leagues of Norway. In this country many goals are scored in second-tier leagues. Most of the time it is completed an Over 2.5 is before the second half. This league has an average of 4.71 goals per game with a win percentage of 85% for bets Over 2.5.

Highland League (Scotland)

The warrior country. The football players of this country always give their lives in the field every time they play. This league is very powerful, have an average of 3.88 goals per game with a win percentage of 80.7% for bets Over 2.5.

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Germany)

The Germans love good football. German football is some of the best in the world and second division leagues are followed by headhunters to find new players. This league is averaging over 3.5 goals per game with a winning percentage of 77% for bets Over 2.5.

Kolmonen Helsinki and Uusimaa II (Finland)

A cold country with high-quality football. If you like to see many goals in each game and make money you have to see matches in Kolmonen Finnish league from the second division. This league has an average of 3.74 goals per game with a winning percentage of 76% for bets Over 2.5.

Division Soedra Svealand (Sweden)

Sweden’s women’s team are the current Olympic runners-up, you can imagine why. Swedish football is very competitive at all levels not only in men’s division. The soedra (men) division offers many goals. This league has an average of 3.93 goals per game with a winning percentage of 76% for bets Over 2.5.

Low Scoring Leagues – Perfect for Under 2.5 Goal Bets

Ligue 1 (Cameroon)

The Cameroon football has never been a goal machine. The teams in Cameroon 35% of the time end in a draw on average. This league has an average of 1.73 goals per game with a percentage of 26.67% for win bets Over 2.5.

National (France)

The teams in France do not usually score many goals. The second division of French football also suffers from lack of goals, 41% of the matches end in a draw. This league has an average of 2 goals per game with a winning percentage of 30% for bets Over 2.5.

1. Division FBiH (Bosnia-Herzegovina)

This country has one of the league with the worst performance when making goals. The war affected much the level of play in this country and has caused 20% of the matches ending in a draw. This league is averaging 1.8 goals per game with a winning percentage of 20% for bets Over 2.5.

Primera B Apertura (Chile)

In Latin America chile football second division is one of the most terrible in goals, 48% end in a draw. This league has an average of 2.19 goals per game with a winning percentage of 29% for bets Over 2.5.

Serie C (Brazil)

The country where the best players in the world are born. In this sub division Serie C almost no goals are scored and 35% of the matches end in a draw. This league has an average of 2 goals per game with a winning percentage of 25% for bets Over 2.5.

Bets on Over/Under are a great way to get started with your football strategies to try and beat the bookie. It’s important you understand how to read the odds and identify the best and worst leagues with the highest percentage of goals. It can be good to start of with just one area e.g. look for the best leagues for under 2.5 goals or if you prefer do the opposite and look for leagues with Over 2.5 goals.

Almost all of that information is available on the internet and hopefully our website points you in the right direction for the top leagues which involve either low scoring or high scoring football matches.

If you want a more detailed strategy on Under/Over 2.5 betting why not try our betting system here

The post The Best Leagues For Under/Over Goal Betting appeared first on Football Betting Master.